World of Warships

[Speadsheet] Santa Crates – Likelihood of getting X reward from Y boxes (crowdsourced dataset)

You can find the info for all three kinds of crates on this new sheet:

< Santa Crates – Drop chances per gifts opened>

Hey, me again.

Given that the data I collected on my crowd-sourced spreadsheet (link if interested) has reached a point were the shifts in percentages are in the decimal scale, I decided to create a spreadsheet that would show two things:

  1. The likelihood of getting a particular rewards from a particular crate (other sheet already showed this)
  2. More relevant, how your chance of pulling a particular reward evolves with the linear growth of the number of gift opened.

While mostly for curiosity, this can be useful for some people in particular scenarios. An example:

Q: How many Santa's Gift's (smaller ones) am I expected to open before reaching over 90% chance to get a ship (R6*)?

A: I am expected to open 76 or more crates (90.06%).

Please report any errors you may find (I know the mega gifts sheet is not public yet, working on it)

Hope you will find it interesting (and perhaps useful)

edit:

Forgot to add, this is using the dataset with mixed video and written data (one with around 1300 data points at the time of edit)

Original link



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