There’s a TL;DR at the bottom, but I really hope people read all the way through this, this took me much longer than I ever thought any post I would ever make would take.
For all those people complaining about the vBucks nerf and saying that we need more vBucks than what we’re currently getting right now, here’s why you’re wrong, and this time, I’m using mostly statistics and data, instead of just posting an incoherent rant.
We already get quite a lot of free vBucks guaranteed to us, even without vBucks alerts.
Let’s see how much we get per week, on average.
 Daily Quests
Of the 36 daily quests:
33 of them award 50 vBucks
1 awards 60 vBucks
1 awards 75 vBucks
1 awards 100 vBucks
So the average value of a daily quest would be:
52.36 vBucks
because
33*50 = 1650
and then
1650 + 60 + 75 + 100 = 1885
and then
1885/36 = 52.36 (rounded to the nearest hundredth)
And if you really want to maximize your vBucks, you can replace any Daily Quest you get if at awards 50 vBucks to try again for one of the larger rewards. So, we can recalculate that figure, and if you replace any daily quest than only awards 50 vBucks, that will mean the average value of any Daily Quest that rewards 50 vBucks before being replaced would be 52.36, because that’s the average value of a randomly selected Daily Quest. So, if you automatically replace any Daily Quest that gives 50 vBucks, you’d get an average of 54.52 vBucks each day from Daily Quests, because
52.36*33 = 1727.88
and
1727.88 + 60 + 75 + 100 = 1962.88
and
1962.88/36 = 54.52 (rounded to the nearest hundredth)
So, on average you get 366.52 (52.367) free vBucks per week from Daily Quests if you don’t automatically replace any quest that awards 50 vBucks, and if you do automatically replace quests that award 50 vBucks, then you’ll get an average of 381.64 (54.527) free vBucks each week from your Daily Quests.
But, that’s not all. There’s also login rewards, which have several vBucks rewards scattered throughout them.
Each daily login reward cycle lasts 336 days, or 48 weeks. The day 337 reward is the same as the day 1 reward, and the day 338 is the same as the day 2, and so on.
Each login cycle has:
1 reward of 50 vBucks
31 rewards of 150 vBucks
9 rewards of 300 vBucks
2 rewards of 800 vBucks
1 reward of 1000 vBucks
and
50 + (31150) + (9300) + (2*800) + 1000 = 10000
Which means you get 10000 vBucks in 48 weeks, and then
10000/48 = 208.33 (rounded to the nearest hundredth)
So you get, on average, 208.33 free vBucks per week just for logging in.
So, 381.64 (from daily quests) + 208.33 (from login rewards) = an average of 589.97 free vBucks each week, guaranteed.
Now, I’m going to show you what that number would look like with 13 vBucks alerts guaranteed in each rotation.
Let’s start with the assumption that these guaranteed vBucks alerts have an equal chance of spawning in each zone. (This is actually going to result in lowballing the average value of a vBucks alert as there are less zones in Stonewood and Plankerton where a vBucks mission could spawn versus in Canny Valley and Twine Peaks.)
So, under that assumption, the average value of a vBucks mission would be 130 (25+30+35+40) divided by 4 (the number of different value a vBucks mission can have), which is 32.5 vBucks.
So, if we have 1 vBucks alert guaranteed per day, with an average value of 32.5 vBucks, you would get an additional 227.5 free vBucks guaranteed per week (on average), for a total of 817.47 guaranteed free vBucks per week (on average).
With 2 guaranteed vBucks alerts per day, you would get an additional 455 free vBucks guaranteed per week (on average), for a total of 1044.97 guaranteed free vBucks per week (on average).
And with 3 guaranteed vBucks alerts per day, you would get an additional 682.5 free vBucks guaranteed per week (on average), for a total of 1272.47 guaranteed free vBucks per week (on average).
The findings are, measured in guaranteed free vBucks per week:
589.97 with no vBucks alerts
817.47 with 1 vBucks alert per day
1044.97 with 2 vBucks alerts per day
1272.47 with 3 vBucks alerts per day
Bear in mind that this is guaranteed free premium currency that we are talking about.
And this is where we can really quantify what these numbers mean.
1000 vBucks costs $10 to purchase, meaning each vBuck is worth $0.01.
So now, the average value (rounded to the nearest cent) of those guaranteed free vBucks per week would be:
$5.90 with no vBucks alerts
$8.17 with 1 vBucks alert per day
$10.45 with 2 vBucks alerts per day
$12.72 with 3 vBucks alerts per day
And now, to really put this in perspective, let’s see how these numbers look with a larger timeframe, let’s say, 1 year.
The average value of the guaranteed free vBucks you would receive each year would be:
$306.80 with no vBucks alerts
$424.84 with 1 vBucks alert per day
$543.40 with 2 vBucks alert per day
$661.44 (!) with 3 vBucks alerts per day
Now, this is only for 1 person. Let’s see what would happen if the whole playerbase took full advantage of all of these vBucks.
Now, I don’t know the actual number of people who play StW, so let’s use this subreddit’s follower count, which is 331,962 (at the time this comment was written)
Of course, not all of those people still play StW, but:

Many of them may not be posting/commenting on this sub and may not play StW much, but as long as they still play BR and Creative, they’re probably going to take full advantage of those free vBucks for skins.

Not everyone uses reddit, especially kids who just use StW as their vCucks farm for BR skins.
So that probably balances out that number to make it more or less accurate.
So with the assumption that there are 331,962 StW players taking advantage of these free guaranteed vBucks, the average value of the vBucks that Epic would be giving away each year would be:
$101,845,942 (!) with no vBucks alerts
$141,030,736 (!!) with 1 vBucks alert per day
$180,388,151 (!!!) with 2 vBucks alerts per day
$219,572,945 (!!!!) with 3 vBucks alerts per day
The amount of guaranteed vBucks that Epic is currently giving away for free is already outlandish, there’s sure as hell no need to increase it especially since you can now see what’s in your llamas before you buy them, and they also put dupe protection on them, making mythic leads a lot easier to get, and severely diminishing the value of the SPL. (super people llama) Mind you, they give away $52,000,000 each year (if they keep on giving away $1,000,000 per week in the World Cup) via the Fortnite World Cup, and all four of those numbers are larger than that!
TL;DR Epic is already giving away a shitton of guaranteed free vBucks, we don’t need any more.
For anyone who read that all the way through, thank you for listening to my ted talk.
edit: slightly reworded a couple of things to better clarify my central point
Source: Original link
© Post "Here’s why we don’t need more guaranteed free vBucks, but this time it’s a very long writeup using data instead of a relatively meaningless rant." for game Fortnite.
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