Lightforge Arena Tier List is updated for RoS! 99%+ of the 135 cards by offering rate have been valued by our algorithm, and the results are live now, a full day ahead of the expansion release time.
I think it's worth paying attention to for serious players, especially in the onset of a new meta, because abusing Blizzard's poor initial buckets has been a pretty surefire way to clean up in the Arena in the opening days of Arena this past year.
Overall, the meta will trend much more board-centric and curve-centric, with a large number of 2 and 4 drops added to the meta, and a reduction in number and power level of 3 drops, making the old Year of the Raven Arena strategy of "starting on 3" impossible for all classes besides Rogue, and maybe control Warlocks. Lower health taunts, and fewer cards with instant initiative means controlling the board by curve will be more important than ever, and pure control/attrition strategies will work for very few classes. Without specific bucketing info from Blizzard, it's impossible to be too specific, but these general themes should hold even through extremely tilted bucketing. For more detailed info, see
of the 6-hour RoS Arena Preview series we do for each expansion.
Also of note, we have found 3 new common neutral cards (and 1 old one) that will dominate the Arena, unless bucketed in the top bucket, which I do not believe Blizzard will do. Typically, an arena deck has an average score of 120 per card, and anything over 160 I personally consider broken for the format. The top neutral prior to Un'Goro was 139 points, Sea Giant. Since then, Basilisk topped out at 157, and most recently Dragonmaw Scorcher was a 145. A truly broken neutral, like 5-mana Giggling Inventor, was rated a hair below 200 at release.
Eccentric Scribe. (152) 6 mana 6/4 Deathrattle: Summon 4x 1/1s. – Outside of Un'Goro, there have been no neutral cards at this range in HS history that has not been subsequently nerfed. That's because this card is basically a Savannah Highmane (161) with one less health. It's ridiculously overstatted, generally requires two cards to remove, and still deals the full normal 6 damage for turn 6 when played on curve. With Dragonmaw Scorcher no longer in the Arena, this card is going to be flat out ridiculous. And, it's flying so hard under the radar, I wouldn't be surprised if Blizzard released it in a very low bucket, like 4th or 5th, to further cement its status of a meta-shaper. Until yesterday, not a single post or comment in ArenaHS even mentioned this card for some reason, while hundreds were singing the praises of Burly Shovelfist (112).
Hench-Clan Hogsteed. (149) 2 mana 2/1 Rush Deathrattle: Summon a 1/1. – At 2 mana, adding an extra 1/1 to an already okay card in Bluegill becomes an insane amount of value, relatively. This is a card that fulfills all requirements of a 2 drop, while being able to proactively remove any problematic snowbally early game cards, and double up in the late game as useful removal as well, rather than a vanilla drop. It's versatility makes it a subtle but impactful addition to any deck, regardless of archetype. Another premium neutral card that'll likely be rated significantly lower than top bucket by Blizzard.
Dalaran Crusader. (142) 5 mana 5/4 Divine Shield. – There's no hiding this one. It's just a lot of stats. A divine shield on such a large body is usually worth 2.5-3 stat points, so this is a super-powered Pit Fighter. It eats all 4/5 drops besides 5/6 (which no longer exists), and 4/6s. This is so basic even Blizzard should be starting this in the second bucket at lowest. In case they don't, make sure you don't pass this up. It'll rise up soon enough.
Haunted Creeper. (142) 2 mana 1/2 Deathrattle: Summon 2x 1/1s. – See a pattern here? This is an old Naxx card (but new returning to Arena), so we already have win rates. It's an absolutely insane neutral card. Yet, because average players do not recognize the value of Deathrattle 1/1s, all of these cards are systemically underbucketed by Blizzard. While possessing win rates that should make this a top bucket card, I'd be surprised if Blizzard puts this any higher than third bucket, ever. Great value.
For Class Cards, the Priest removal Forbidden Words (195) takes the cake, and among Legendaries, Hagatha (230) is the new queen of the Arena (higher than Lord Godfrey!).
Will be an interesting meta for sure!
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