Heroes of the Storm

Updated for current balance patch: The statistically most OP individual Talents for Storm League (web scraping/analysis project)

HeroesoftheStorm 7 - Updated for current balance patch: The statistically most OP individual Talents for Storm League (web scraping/analysis project)
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Hi, many people seemed to find the last post useful, so I wanted to officially publish updated results for the current balance patch (with a couple improvements, such as displaying the Hero name in the table).

Update of this:

tl;dr of methdology, the Talents that have the highest proven Winrate increase purely by selecting them at a given part of the game. Standardized to reward Talents with a high sample size and which are higher than baseline at that part of the game (so that the list isn't dominated by only level 20 Talents which have a high average Winrate, since not every game goes to 20). Shown in descending order of confidence of being better than baseline at that state of the game. NOT adjusted for Hero strength, since the whole point was to find the strongest builds in the game overall, not just whatever boosts Medivh's winrate up from 41% to 49% or whatever.

This includes results ONLY post-hotfix (Falstad/Tyrael bugs mostly fixed)

Result tl;dr Falstad W build is the most OP build, second is still Sonya's W build (untouched this patch), then ZJ Recklessness, Mei W build, Anub Beetle build, Uther W quest with D Storm, Vikings Play Again, Jaina AA build (!!), Run it Down Azmo, Q build Kerrigan with Ultra, Stukov with Ballistospores, DVa, Lucio new High Five

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Hero Tier Talent Winrate baseline p_values Wins Games Fals 4 Static Shield 0.576 0.501 2.969959e-23 2527 4384 Fals 13 Thunderstrikes 0.579 0.507 6.457389e-22 2601 4491 Fals 7 Charged Up 0.573 0.501 7.640657e-22 2613 4563 Fals 1 Dishonorable Discharge 0.572 0.501 1.677382e-21 2612 4568 Sonya 4 Shattered Ground 0.561 0.501 6.675747e-13 2037 3632 Sonya 1 Furious Blow 0.560 0.501 2.324743e-12 2016 3602 Fals 16 Afterburner 0.602 0.533 2.870998e-11 1437 2389 ZJ 1 Recklessness 0.561 0.501 2.003565e-10 1607 2867 Sonya 16 Giant Slammer 0.588 0.533 2.281327e-10 1973 3354 Mei 1 Ice Storm 0.575 0.501 1.488226e-09 970 1688 ZJ 4 Amani Hide 0.568 0.501 1.951881e-09 1130 1988 Fals 10 Mighty Gust 0.551 0.501 2.319118e-09 2016 3658 Sonya 13 No Escape 0.556 0.507 2.701752e-09 2064 3712 Sonya 7 Battle Rage 0.562 0.501 8.593440e-09 1270 2261 Mei 10 Ice Wall 0.561 0.501 1.412969e-08 1260 2244 Mei 4 Cold Front 0.565 0.501 2.698105e-08 1056 1868 Fals 10 Hinterland Blast 0.554 0.501 9.137953e-08 1434 2588 Mei 16 Black Ice 0.593 0.533 2.508994e-07 1097 1849 Mei 7 Induce Hibernation 0.567 0.501 2.753562e-07 858 1513 ZJ 10 Taz'dingo!Taz'dingo! 0.544 0.501 2.914997e-07 2036 3745 Fals 20 Epic Mount 0.711 0.608 4.430775e-07 398 560 Mei 7 Skating Away 0.547 0.501 4.696059e-07 1654 3024 ZJ 7 Arcanite Axes 0.551 0.501 4.714600e-07 1430 2597 ZJ 16 Wrong Place Wrong Time 0.591 0.533 7.069194e-07 1077 1821 Anub 13 Burning Beetles 0.566 0.507 8.067618e-07 978 1727 Uther 1 Wave of Light 0.584 0.501 9.976453e-07 503 861 Anub 1 Legion of Beetles 0.567 0.501 1.110197e-06 781 1378 TLV 10 Play Again! 0.597 0.501 1.136015e-06 391 655 Fals 20 Wind Tunnel 0.665 0.608 1.620649e-06 1135 1708 Uther 10 Divine Storm 0.555 0.501 1.829035e-06 1108 1996 Jaina 7 Icefury Wand 0.573 0.501 2.954181e-06 603 1052 TLV 13 Jump! 0.626 0.507 3.116663e-06 241 385 Azmo 1 Greed 0.563 0.501 3.496858e-06 790 1403 Anub 7 Leeching Scarabs 0.566 0.501 3.892626e-06 712 1257 Sonya 10 Leap 0.544 0.501 5.258418e-06 1596 2936 Mei 10 Avalanche 0.543 0.501 5.691393e-06 1672 3082 DVa 10 Micro Missiles 0.547 0.501 6.399056e-06 1329 2428 Uther 16 Benediction 0.589 0.533 7.302444e-06 952 1616 Lúcio 10 High Five 0.572 0.501 8.818518e-06 572 1000 Sonya 10 Wrath of the Berserker 0.544 0.501 1.503498e-05 1449 2666 ZJ 20 Amani Resilience 0.662 0.608 1.640186e-05 995 1503 Mei 13 Cooling Servos 0.550 0.507 1.732289e-05 1382 2513 Azmo 7 Master of Destruction 0.557 0.501 1.751931e-05 810 1453 Azmo 16 Hell Rift 0.595 0.533 1.787002e-05 717 1205 ZJ 13 Eye of Zul'jin 0.546 0.507 1.797949e-05 1651 3023 Mei 1 Heat Transfer 0.540 0.501 2.744691e-05 1563 2894 Kerr 10 Summon Ultralisk 0.587 0.501 2.773687e-05 350 596 Uther 7 Armor of Faith 0.571 0.501 3.099444e-05 501 877 Sonya 7 Poisoned Spear 0.552 0.501 3.185563e-05 920 1666 Stuk 1 Reactive Ballistospores 0.551 0.501 3.244899e-05 963 1749 DVa 4 Rush-down 0.544 0.501 3.305838e-05 1265 2325 Stuk 4 Biotic Armor 0.552 0.501 4.870960e-05 875 1585 Mei 13 Flurry 0.565 0.507 5.324886e-05 674 1192 TLV 4 Erik the Swift 0.611 0.501 5.455151e-05 207 339 DVa 7 Hit The Nitrous 0.544 0.501 6.828204e-05 1199 2206 Uther 13 Well Met 0.551 0.507 7.657487e-05 1115 2024 Azmo 10 Demonic Invasion 0.550 0.501 7.838998e-05 922 1677 TLV 7 Spin To Win! 0.594 0.501 9.354406e-05 263 443 ZJ 16 Let the Killing Begin 0.584 0.533 1.027474e-04 859 1471 Azmo 4 Hellforged Armor 0.562 0.501 1.260675e-04 545 969 Mei 4 Crystallize 0.538 0.501 1.359885e-04 1410 2619 Lúcio 20 Mixing Fire 0.688 0.608 1.582563e-04 359 522 Cass 13 War Traveler 0.546 0.507 2.260508e-04 1243 2278 DVa 1 Full Metal 0.537 0.501 2.556328e-04 1407 2621 TLV 16 Large and In Charge 0.613 0.533 2.614007e-04 320 522 Uther 13 Blessed Champion 0.565 0.507 2.746675e-04 558 988 DVa 13 Pew! Pew! Pew! 0.560 0.507 3.001013e-04 653 1166 Uther 4 Pursuit of Justice 0.557 0.501 3.093084e-04 580 1041 Var 16 Banner of Dalaran 0.578 0.533 3.146082e-04 936 1619 ZJ 13 Ensnare 0.582 0.507 3.203793e-04 334 574 Fals 16 Aerie Gusts 0.577 0.533 3.444375e-04 987 1711 Lúcio 1 Smooth Moves 0.577 0.501 3.531203e-04 313 542 DW 10 Burn Beneath My Shadow 0.571 0.501 3.675910e-04 383 671 Gaz 1 Rocket Boots 0.551 0.501 3.857546e-04 699 1269 TLV 4 Mercenary Lord 0.624 0.501 4.059523e-04 131 210 Fals 16 Crippling Hammer 0.576 0.533 4.437601e-04 969 1681 Uther 4 Holy Shock 0.549 0.501 4.789589e-04 720 1311 Anub 16 Beetle, Juiced 0.593 0.533 4.982396e-04 504 850 Gaz 20 Bomb Toss 0.670 0.608 5.049740e-04 496 740 Stuk 10 Massive Shove 0.537 0.501 5.365164e-04 1279 2382 Mei 13 Polar Vortex 0.551 0.507 5.593892e-04 863 1567 Uther 10 Divine Shield 0.547 0.501 6.741210e-04 769 1406 Tracer 1 One-Two Punch 0.562 0.501 7.149354e-04 436 776 Uther 7 Hand of Protection 0.540 0.501 7.515595e-04 996 1843 Stuk 13 Virulent Reaction 0.543 0.507 7.664352e-04 1180 2173 Rexx 4 Hunter-Gatherer 0.563 0.501 7.887682e-04 416 739 Lúcio 16 Up the Frequency 0.576 0.533 8.565279e-04 901 1565 Sam 7 Burning Blade 0.580 0.501 8.841505e-04 258 445 Malg 10 Carrion Swarm 0.544 0.501 8.899069e-04 814 1495 Gaz 10 Grav-O-Bomb 3000 0.539 0.501 9.164427e-04 1042 1932 Kerr 7 Boundless Fury 0.567 0.501 1.054019e-03 357 630 Jaina 10 Summon Water Elemental 0.546 0.501 1.086721e-03 754 1382 WM 16 Shared Punishment 0.592 0.533 1.114632e-03 456 770 Gaz 13 Superior Schematics 0.550 0.507 1.274693e-03 769 1398 Var 4 Taunt 0.530 0.501 1.337861e-03 1674 3161 Jaina 4 Arcane Intellect 0.543 0.501 1.343044e-03 779 1434 DW 4 Dragon's Ire 0.606 0.501 1.370713e-03 143 236 WM 20 Judgement Day 0.691 0.608 1.432795e-03 241 349 Tych 10 Drakken Laser Drill 0.538 0.501 1.633572e-03 1027 1910 Fals 20 Call of the Wildhammer 0.662 0.608 1.637886e-03 522 788 Mei 4 Slushball 0.555 0.501 1.718952e-03 470 847 Gaz 16 Ark Reaktor 0.572 0.533 1.829849e-03 918 1604 Tracer 7 Locked and Loaded 0.570 0.501 1.891776e-03 299 525 Stuk 16 Pox Populi 0.580 0.533 1.921970e-03 659 1137 Mei 16 Acclimation 0.566 0.533 1.990436e-03 1283 2267 Uther 4 Holy Fire 0.549 0.501 2.012815e-03 579 1055 Azmo 13 Cydaea's Kiss 0.554 0.507 2.051640e-03 610 1102 DW 1 Molten Blood 0.556 0.501 2.074347e-03 436 784 TLV 20 Fury of the Storm 0.688 0.608 2.089985e-03 240 349 Malth 1 On a Pale Horse 0.558 0.501 2.185399e-03 402 720 Xul 7 Trag'Oul's Essence 0.556 0.501 2.296334e-03 434 781 Rexx 10 Unleash the Boars 0.552 0.501 2.531886e-03 493 893 Gaz 4 Hyperfocus Coils 0.542 0.501 2.543882e-03 738 1362 Uther 1 Hammer of the Lightbringer 0.539 0.501 2.845835e-03 807 1496 Jaina 20 Wintermute 0.663 0.608 2.891567e-03 468 706 Anub 20 Rewind 0.655 0.608 2.988887e-03 623 951 Rehg 20 Gladiator's War Shout 0.695 0.608 3.114790e-03 185 266 Gaz 20 Miniature Black Hole 0.681 0.608 3.593755e-03 256 376 Uther 7 Guardian of Ancient Kings 0.557 0.501 3.630593e-03 382 686 Var 10 Warbringer 0.533 0.501 3.766636e-03 1118 2097 DW 13 Wicked Inferno 0.543 0.507 3.965405e-03 858 1579 Sam 13 Shukuchi 0.564 0.507 4.073709e-03 356 631 Stuk 7 Targeted Excision 0.536 0.501 4.163053e-03 886 1652 Kerr 4 Sharpened Blades 0.561 0.501 4.362329e-03 311 554 Anub 4 Bed of Barbs 0.540 0.501 4.722720e-03 722 1338 

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