Heroes of the Storm

Which heroes need new skins most desperately? (A bit of study)

HeroesoftheStorm 7 - Which heroes need new skins most desperately? (A bit of study)
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We know that some heroes desperately need new skins, i.e. they haven't received any for years. I wanted to find out which ones besides our beloved TLV, Ragnaros and Falstad and also measure this "desperateness" in some way, making "Top N heroes" charts depending on the exact way I measure it. I was also curious how accurate could my methodics reflect the actual desire for new skins within the community.

The problem why I could not decide to do it all by myself was collecting data for all the tints which would be a long, very tedious job, but to my luck,
Gnueless - Which heroes need new skins most desperately? (A bit of study)

/u/Gnueless, the author of the Nexus Compendium, was already working on it, so I requested the data from him, which he generously provided me a couple of months later.

When conducting my calculations, I did not count heroes' base skins when calculating the total skin numbers. Some nominally separate skins are in fact merely recolors of pre-existed skins with different descriptions (these are Nephalem skins, Cyber Oni Anub'arak, Cyber Ghost Kerrigan, RCHS Cheerleader Kerrigan and RCHS Striker Li-Ming). I treated them as tints for the skins they borrow model from. At the same time, Ana's Shrike skin, which differs from only slightly from the base skin, I treated as a separate skin for having difference in model (the face shield).

My table is sortable and includes the following parameters of every hero:

  • Total skin count (excluding base skin)
  • Days since (and date of) the last release of a normal skin (a skin neither tied to a seasonal event nor limited-time)
  • … of a seasonal or limited-time skin
  • … of any skin
  • … of normal tint (for some skins, additional tints have been released since the initial skin release)
  • … of a seasonal/limited time tint (some such tints exist for skins that weren't released as seasonal or limited – Dark Nexus Alarak an example)
  • … of any tint (note that "last tint" dates include extra tints for base skins as well)
  • the DPS and CDPS quotients (see below)


First results

Let's see what heroes will be in the top or the bottom of the chart if we sort it by some of the parameters above.

There are 9 heroes that have received their last new skin before HotS 2.0:

HeroDays sinceLast skin release date
The Lost Vikings20372015-02-10
Thrall18342015-09-01
Falstad17782015-10-27
Medivh15472016-06-14
Rexxar14422016-09-27
Ragnaros13642016-12-14
Samuro13232017-01-24
Tyrande13022017-02-14
Probius12742017-03-14

If we sort the list by last tint release date, the result will drastically change:

HeroDays sinceLast tint release date
The Lost Vikings20372015-02-10
Ragnaros13642016-12-14
Thrall12322017-04-25
Tychus11692017-06-27
Kel'Thuzad10992017-09-05

Two heroes released before HotS 2.0 haven't even got a tint since their release: The Lost Vikings and Ragnaros. In my observations, these two are those the community wants new skins the most for.

DPS Quotient

At the same time, the last skin/tint release date alone is not ideal for determining which heroes need new skins the most: for example, at the moment I started to write this post, Arthas hadn't received a new skin for almost four years while he already had the whopping 5 skins so he should not be on the priority list. Same does Tyrande. That's why I introduced the Days-per-skin quotient. It's the number of days since the hero release divided by the number of skins the hero currently has, or how long it takes for that hero to get a new skin.

Let's look at the heroes with the largest values of the DPS Quotient:

HeroDPS Quotient
Kel'Thuzad1099
The Lost Vikings1018
Falstad790
Medivh773
Thrall688
Ragnaros682
Probius637
Rexxar609
Abathur, Sgt. Hammer, Tassadar, Tyrael592
Stukov577

Surprizingly, The Lost Vikings could not find themselves at the top of the list this time, bypassed by the Archlich of Naxxramas, esteemed Lich Lord of the Plaguelands, Commander of the Dread Necropolis, Master and Founder of the Cult of the Damned, formerly of the Council of Six, Creator of the Abomination, Summoner of Archimonde the Defiler, Betrayer of Humanity, Hearthstone Enthusiast, and Majordomo to the Lich King. The obvious reason is that Kel'Thuzad was released after HotS 2.0, and therefore did not receive a master skin. Anyways, it's odd to see that who once used to be one of the most requested heroes, hasn't got even a tint since his release, and, to my observation, is rarely seen in "Heroes-that-need-a-skin" threads.

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On the other side, most of the heroes from the list first list are here as well, while aforementioned Tyrande was eliminated.

CDPS Quotient

There are some problems, though, with the raw number of the skins. For example, Chen got his last skin nominally with the release of HotS 2.0, but the only difference of this skin from his base model is his hat. That's why I introduced the "Corrected days-per-skin quotient", which is calculated the same way, but eliminates those skins that have very little difference from the hero's other skin, like single garment piece or Khala cord. These skins are: Shrike Ana, Daelaam Artanis, Brewmaster Chen, Pump'kin Cho'gall, Creepie Chromie, Paper Bag Gazlowe, Stars and Stripes Raynor, Power Briefs Tychus, High Templar Zeratul – remember that "infamous" 2017 hallow's end when "everyone got a hat"?

By the way, I'd like to say that, personally, I still appreciate such "low effort" skins like Brewmaster Chen as they still bring some diversity to the character appearance, and would like to see more of them in game.

Let's look at the 10 heroes with the largest values of CDPS Quotient:

HeroCDPS Quotient
Kel'Thuzad1099
Ana1078
The Lost Vikings1018
Falstad790
Medivh773
Chen730
Thrall688
Ragnaros682
Probius637
Rexxar609

Finally we got Chen in our top 10 list. Also we got the second one to surpass The Lost Vikings and it's Ana, who was released right after Kel'Thuzad and received only one skin besides her base and Shrike skin that only adds a face shield since her release.

There is also a hero that finds himself in the Top 5 of the every list above (besides tints) but is never mentioned in the "Heroes-that-need-a-skin" threads, and it's Medivh. Not sure why he is overlooked, but I'm inclined to think that's because of his low pickrate due to high team skill requirement.

There is a predictable common trait among the heroes in the last list that explains the lack of new skins pretty exhaustively: five of them have either multiple models (TLV, Chen, Probius, Rexxar) or a large, complex model (Ragnaros).

Overall, the CDPS quotient shows the best results for both purposes combined: to highlight heroes that haven't received a new skin for long and to predict the community's desire for new skins. There is still a room for better methods: for example, introduce a numeric originality value of a skin instead of simply excluding skins with very low originality, but it would take too much time and effort.


The least requested skins

So, after we talked about the most requested hero-skins, let's take a look about the least requested ones. SPOILER: Li-Ming is not the only hero with the whopping number of 7 skins.

There are 13 heroes with more than 5 separate skins:

  • Kharazim, Li-Ming, Sonya, Valla (7 skins)
  • Arthas, Diablo, Jaina, Kerrigan, Li Li, Nova, Stitches, Sylvanas, Zeratul (6 skins)

Most of them were released during 2014 and none of their DPS or CDPS quotients exceeds 400.

Let's take a look at the bottom of the CDPS list, after excluding heroes released within the last 1.5 years, as they would obviously have low values:

HeroCDPS Quotient
Li-Ming240
Whitemane254
Kharazim, Valeera264
Varian278
Imperius304
Cassia313
Maiev315
Tracer320
Orphea, Sylvanas332
Sonya, Valla338

Predictably, "Let's-make-one-more-skin-for" Li-Ming finds herself at the top of the list. On the other side, heroes with the most skins other than her and Kharazim begin to appear from the 9th place. That's because most of these heroes were released while still in Technical Alpha.

Another thing we can see from the list is that the vast majority of the heroes that get new skins most frequently are female characters (77%).


Source

The tints data by Gnueless (updated by me from the last PTR patch)

Source: Original link


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