League of Legends

LCK final week preview

LeagueofLegends6 - LCK final week preview
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Before the final week a lot is already clear:

  • GRF is 1st
  • Damwon is 5th
  • Hanwha is 6th
  • JinAir is 10th

There are just two points of contention left: The fight for 2nd and the fight to avoid 9th

Fight for 2nd

  • SKT 12-4 / +14 / h2h advantage vs both
  • Kingzone 12-5 / +13 / loses h2h to SKT, even with Sandbox
  • Sandbox 12-5 / +11 / loses h2h to SKT, even with Kingzone

  • Relevant games:

    • SKT vs JAG
    • KZ vs GRF
    • SKT vs AF
    • Sandbox vs GenG

Strength of schedule wise SKT has the easiest road to secure 2nd, while KZ appears prime candidate for 4th.

  • SKT gets 2nd, if
    • they win both matches
    • they win one match 2-0 and lose the other 1-2
    • they win one match, lose the other and Kingzone loses their match
    • they lose both matches with a gamescore of 2-4 or 1-4, SB and KZ also lose their match and KZ loses 0-2 in case SKT loses 1-4
  • SKT gets 3rd, if
    • they win one match, lose the other with a 2-2/3-3 or a 2-3 gamescore and KZ wins their match 2-0 or 2-1
    • they lose both matches and KZ wins their match, while Sandbox loses
    • they lose both matches with a 2-4 or 1-4 score, SB wins theris and KZ loses their match 1-2 or 0-2
  • SKT gets 4th, if

    • they lose both matches and KZ and SB win their match
    • they lose both matches with a gamescore of 1-4 or 0-4, SB wins, KZ loses with a 1-2 or 0-2 score
  • KZ gets 2nd, if

    • they win their match 2-0 or 2-1 and SKT goes at best 1-1 with a gamescore 2-2/3-3 or 2-3
    • they lose their match and the others also lose their match (SKT also must have 2 worse gamescore than KZ, so if KZ loses 1-2, SKT must lose 1-4 or 0-4)
  • KZ gets 3rd, if

    • they win and SKT wins both their matches
    • they win and SKT goes 1-1 with a gamescore of 3-2
    • they lose and one of SKT or SB wins a match, while the other loses all matches
    • all three lose their matches, but KZ doesn't have at least two better gamescore than SKT
  • KZ gets 4th, if

    • they lose and both SKT and SB win
    • they lose 0-2 or 1-2, SB wins and SKT loses 1-4 or 2-4
  • SB gets 2nd, if

    • they win and both SKT and KZ lose all their matches
  • SB gets 3rd, if

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    • they win, and one of SKT or KZ loses all their matches
  • SB gets 4th, if

    • they lose
    • they win, but the others also win at least one match

Fight against 9th

  • GenG 5-11 / -9 / wins h2h vs Afreeca, even vs KT
  • Afreeca 5-12 / -13 / loses h2h vs GenG, even vs KT
  • KT 4-12 / -12 / even with both

  • Relevant games:

    • Gen vs Damwon
    • KT vs HLE
    • Gen vs Sandbox
    • AF vs SKT
    • KT vs Damwon

GenG has the best situation, due to better gamescore and h2h, KT must take a win though to avoid 9th

  • GenG avoid 9th, if
    • they win at least one match
    • they lose both matches and Afreeca or KT also lose all matches
    • they lose both matches with a gamescore of 1-4 or 2-4 and, Afreeca wins and KT goes 1-1 with a gamescore of 2-3 or 3-3
  • GenG is 9th, if
    • they lose both matches and AF and KT win all their matches
    • they lose both matches 0-4 or 1-4, Afreeca wins their match, and KT goes 1-1 with a gamescore 3-3 or 3-2
  • GenG plays a tiebreaker vs KT if,

    • they lose both matches 0-4 or 1-4 or 2-4, AF wins their match and KT goes 1-1 with 2-3 or 3-3 or 3-2
  • Afreeca avoid 9th, if

    • they win their match and KT loses at least one or GenG loses both
    • they lose their match and KT loses both
  • Afreeca is 9th, if

    • they lose and KT wins at least one match
  • KT avoid 9th, if

    • they win both matches (KT is at worst -10 with two match wins, Afreeca is at best -11)
    • they win one match and Afreeca loses their match
    • they win one match with a gamescore of 3-3 or 3-2, Afreeca wins their match, GenG loses both matches with a gamescore of 0-4 or 1-4
  • KT is 9th, if

    • they lose both matches
    • they win one match and both GenG and Afreeca win at least one match
    • they win one match with a gamescore of 2-3 or 3-3, Afreeca wins their match and GenG loses their matches with a gamescore of 1-4 or 2-4
  • KT plays a tiebreaker against GenG, if

    • they win one match with a gamescore of 2-3 or 3-3 or 3-2 and GenG lose both matches 0-4 or 1-4 or 2-4

Source: Original link


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